Sports wagering can be quite profitable if you know the tricks this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a ideal case in point. I actually analyzed the Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Virginia had the edge in the game. Nonetheless We also realized that there initially were a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:
West Las vegas versus Louisville
This sport offers all the symptoms of being one associated with the greatest games regarding the year, along with each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming rear from appearing down massive in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game look like this year?
In the event that this video game were being played at a simple field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.
These are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, the extra reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that more point will certainly make the distinction between a push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home games.
In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since 12 20, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points per game at home, while hitting only letting go of 15. seven points each game in home. In case anyone failed to do the mathematics, that means considering that their very own last home decline they also have averaged beating their particular opponents by simply about 34 items per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s the way…
Most of those stats ended up developed during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They already have had recent games through which they have already only scored 35, 23, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
Basically of which this is still a close activity to get in touch with. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off that game and not really gamble at all. There happen to be better video games this weekend break with more simple strengths.
The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big which they may possibly still win right after producing so many mistakes. By UFABET of not betting on this match, people significant with regards to wagering saved money they can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.